Program/Track A/A.2/Agentic Model Selection and Tuning for Probability-Informed Network Traffic Forecasting
Agentic Model Selection and Tuning for Probability-Informed Network Traffic Forecasting
Ariy Okonishnikov, Andrey Gorshenin
15m
Mobile network traffic forecasting requires handling heterogeneous traffic regimes where no single predictive model performs optimally across all data segments. The probability-informed machine learning (PIML) framework addresses this by clustering training data with a Deep Gaussian Mixture Model (DGMM) and fitting separate regressors per cluster, but it leaves model selection and hyperparameter configuration fixed. We propose LM-Orchestrator, an agentic extension in which a local Small Language Model (SLM) autonomously selects and tunes the regressor for each cluster via a ReAct-style tool-calling loop with walk-forward cross-validation. Experiments on hourly network traffic data across six SLMs (3B–27B parameters) show that larger models achieve up to a 22.91% relative reduction in Mean Absolute Percentage Error over the best standalone estimator, while producing interpretable orchestration decisions unavailable in black-box AutoML approaches.